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February 7, 2012
From Daigle To Datsyuk
Draft Mid-Terms, Top 50
by Corey Pronman
I typically have not done mid-year draft rankings, but this year I decided to change it up. As a disclaimer this is not what you should expect from my draft coverage going forward towards the end of the draft season. There will be full detailed reports and lengthy explanations for every major ranking come time for my end of year rankings. Due to the fact there are no explanations in this draft ranking, I fully encourage readers to ask as many questions as you please.
The usual explanations for my rankings:
The information that was used to form these rankings is scouting-based material from my own observations of these players, on top of the many, many conversations I've had with scouts and front-office executives within the industry (phone bill ain't looking pretty this month). However, the rankings are purely my own.
The rankings have an emphasis on the possession skill, due to the convincing studies in the hockey analytics world that shows that Corsi is representative of the possession skill and that Corsi is overwhelmingly the most important quality to consistently win hockey games that is under the team's control. I also take into account the market value of upside and position based on studies done.
The singular goaltending prospect towards the end of the list is not an error or an attempt to make a skaters-only rankings. Research has shown goaltending has very low value in the current NHL marketplace due to very volatile performances on a year-to-year basis and the fact good goaltending is easily obtainable in the open market.
Statistical performance is used as a complementary aid and adjusted for age, league quality, and other performance-altering factors. However, due to the lack of context in non-NHL statistics such as zone starts, quality of competition, and not having on-ice shot metrics, statistics are not given a heavy emphasis.
If you have a question about why a certain prospect is ranked where, use the contact tab or ask me via my Twitter account @coreypronman.
1. Mikhail Grigorenko, Center, Quebec-QMJHL
2. Nail Yakupov, Left Wing, Sarnia-OHL
3. Alex Galchenyuk, Center, Sarnia-OHL
4. Ryan Murray, Defense, Everett-WHL
5. Matt Dumba, Defense, Red Deer-WHL
6. Filip Forsberg, Left Wing, Leksands-Allsvenskan
7. Jacob Trouba, Defense, USA Under-18-USHL
8. Morgan Rielly, Defense, Moose Jaw-WHL
9. Cody Ceci, Defense, Ottawa-OHL
10. Teuvo Teravainen, Left Wings, Jokerit-SM-Liiga:
11. Radek Faska, Center, Kitchener-OHL
12. Zemgus Girgensons, Center, Dubuque-USHL
13. Griffin Reinhart, Defense, Edmonton-WHL
14. Matt Finn, Defense, Guelph-OHL
15. Ludvig Bystrom, Defense, MODO-SEL
16. Brendan Gaunce, Center, Belleville-OHL
17. Michael Matheson, Defense, Dubuque-USHL
18. Pontus Aberg, Left Wing, Djurgarden-SEL:
19. Slater Koekkoek, Defense, Peterborough-OHL
20. Martin Frk, Right Wing, Halifax-QMJHL
21. Tomas Hertl, Center, HC Slavia Praha-Czech Extraliga
22. Daniil Zharkov, Right Wing, Belleville-OHL
23. Raphael Bussieres, Left Wing, Baie-Comeau-QMJHL
24. Nikita Gusev, Left Wing, CSKA-MHL
25. Sebastian Collberg, Right Wing, Frolunda-SEL
26. Nicolas Kerdiles, Left Wing, USA Under-18-USHL
27. Nikolai Prokhorkin, Center, CSKA-MHL
28. Derrick Pouliot, Defense, Portland-WHL
29. Charles Hudon, Left Wing, Chicoutimi-QMJHL
30. Cristoval Nieves, Center, Kent-US High School
31. Tim Bozon, Left Wing, Kamloops-WHL
32. Olli Maatta, Defense, London-OHL
33. Stefan Matteau, Center, USA Under-18-USHL
34. Tanner Pearson, Right Wing, Barrie-OHL
35. Mike Winther, Center, Prince Albert-WHL
36. Ville Pokka, Defense, Karpat-SM-Liiga
37. Damon Severson, Defense, Kelowna-WHL
38. Dillon Fournier, Defense, Rouyn-Noranda-QMJHL
39. Henrik Samuelsson, Right Wing, Edmonton-WHL
40. Jordan Schmaltz, Defense, Green Bay-USHL
41. Dalton Thrower, Defense, Saskatoon-WHL
42. Anton Slepyshev, Left Wing, Novokuznetsk-KHL
43. Phil Di Giuseppe, Left Wing, University of Michigan-CCHA
44. Brady Skjei, Defense, USA Under-18-USHL
45. Jarrod Maidens, Center, Owen Sound-OHL
46. Nathan Walker, Left Wing, Vitkovice-Czech Extraliga
47. Andreas Athanasiou, Left Wing, London-OHL
48. Andrei Vasilevski, Goaltender, UFA-MHL
49. Scott Kosmachuk, Right Wing, Guelph-OHL
50. Denis Kamaev, Right Wing, Rouyn-Noranda-QMJHL
Honorable Mentions
Tomas Hyka, Right Wing, Gatineau-QMJHL
Tom Wilson, Right Wing, Plymouth-OHL
Adam Pelech, Defense, Erie-OHL
Jake McCabe, Defense, Wisconsin-WCHA
Brian Hart, Right Wing, Phillips Exeter-US High School
Corey Pronman is an author of Hockey Prospectus. You can contact Corey by clicking here or click here to see Corey's other articles.
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