In the past two articles about the Inductinator, we looked at the forwards and defensemen that you can expect to go into the Hall in the next few years. Remember that the Inductinator is not designed to determine who should be inducted into the Hall of Fame based on merit; rather it predicts who will be inducted based on the Hall's recent voting record. Analyzing NHL defensemen, forwards and goaltenders seperately, any player with an Inductinator score of 100 or more should be expected to get into the Hall of Fame, with the number of years of expected wait time determined by the specific score. Players are eligible for the Hall after having been retired for three years, so if a player who retired in 2010 is estimated to have a 2-year wait before being inducted, he is expected to be honored in 2015.
This time we'll look at the results goaltenders, and wrap things up with a summary of how the system sees the Hall of Fame results to go for the next three years.
Among modern goaltenders, we have eight Hall of Famers. They are:
Ken Dryden (1983) Ed Giacomin (1987) Grant Fuhr (2003)
Bernie Parent (1984) Tony Esposito (1988) Patrick Roy (2006)
Gerry Cheevers (1985) Billy Smith (1983)
Only two of these goaltenders were inducted in their first year of eligibility: Fuhr and Roy. Dryden, Esposito and Smith each had to wait a year, Parent and Cheevers waited two each, while Giacomin waited six. If we look at their scores, we see that Patrick Roy is really in a class all his own when it comes to modern Hall of Fame goalies.
Player Wait Score
Patrick Roy 0 572
Grant Fuhr 0 176
Ken Dryden 1 174
Billy Smith 1 151
Tony Esposito 1 144
Bernie Parent 2 126
Gerry Cheevers 2 101
Ed Giacomin 6 100