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January 20, 2010
Howe and Why
Best Free Agent Signings

by Robert Vollman

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Let's cut right to the chase; here are the top 10 best offseason free agent signings in terms of value.

Legend:

Cap: Salary Cap Hit

 
Player         Team         Cap  GVT  GVS 
Craig Anderson Colorado     1.8 11.1  8.8
Henrik Sedin   Vancouver    6.1 16.7  6.9
Andy Greene    New Jersey   0.7  7.0  6.6
Matt Moulson   NY Islanders 0.6  6.7  5.6
Jussi Jokinen  Carolina     1.7  7.7  5.6
Eric Fehr      Washington   0.8  6.0  5.5
Jeff Schultz   Washington   0.7  5.4  5.0
Brent Johnson  Pittsburgh   0.5  4.8  4.8
Tomas Plekanec Montreal     2.8  8.6  4.6
Kurtis Foster  Tampa Bay    0.6  4.8  4.6

Definitions of GVT and GVS can be found here

It comes as no surprise that Colorado GM Greg Sherman's brilliant coup of signing a top-flight goaltender like Craig Anderson for a mere $1.8 million was the greatest offseason signing. Combined with other shrewd value signings like Peter Budaj and David Jones, you might start making a case for GM of the Year, but I'm going to make an even better case for someone far less obvious in a moment.

At Puck Prospectus, we may have been expecting Anderson to head this list, but not the others. Before the season began, we expected the top values to be the following players, but as you can see, only two of them, Travis Zajac and Mark Recchi, are providing good bang for the buck.


Player            Team        Cap  GVT  GVS 
Jeff Woywitka     Dallas      0.7 -0.4 -0.7
Rob Blake         San Jose    3.5  2.9 -2.4
Ruslan Fedotenko  Pittsburgh  1.8  0.6 -1.7
Travis Zajac      New Jersey  3.9  7.8  1.9
Mark Recchi       Boston      1.0  2.7  1.8

Travis Zajac has contributed 7.8 GVT, which is great, but New Jersey paid almost in full for every goal. If you're not interested in value, here are the top offseason free agent signings, regardless of salary. I've left off those who appear on the first list, and anyone without a GVT of at least 6.0.

 
Player            Team         Cap  GVT  GVS 
Marian Gaborik    NY Rangers   7.5 12.9  0.6
Daniel Sedin      Vancouver    6.1 10.0  0.2
Travis Zajac      New Jersey   3.9  7.8  1.9
Mike Cammalleri   Montreal     6.0  7.6 -2.1
Kris Versteeg     Chicago      3.1  7.5  3.0
Marian Hossa      Chicago      5.2  7.0 -0.9
Nik Antropov      Atlanta      4.1  6.8  0.5
Mikael Samuelsson Vancouver    2.5  6.1  2.6
Alexei Kovalev    Ottawa       5.0  6.1 -1.8

Who were the worst signings of the year? It should come as no surprise that giving Mike Komisarek a $4.5 million dollar contract despite career bests of 19 points and +9 is like throwing money into a fireplace. And for Toronto GM Brian Burke to then put him on the U.S. Olympic team is like diving in after it.

 
Player             Team         Cap  GVT  GVS 
Mike Komisarek     Toronto      4.5 -1.2 -8.2
Scott Niedermayer  Anaheim      6.8  3.1 -7.9
David Booth        Florida      4.3 -0.5 -7.1
Brian Elliott      Ottawa       0.9 -5.8 -6.4
Jay Bouwmeester    Calgary      6.7  4.6 -6.3
Nikolai Khabibulin Edmonton     3.8 -0.1 -5.8
Devan Dubnyk       Edmonton     0.7 -5.3 -5.7
Johnny Oduya       New Jersey   3.5  0.4 -4.9
David Bolland      Chicago      3.4  0.3 -4.7
Martin Biron       NY Islanders 1.4 -3.1 -4.7

We expected to see Scott Niedermayer and Jay Bouwmeester on this list, but are pleased that our other predicted disasters haven't been nearly as bad as we initially feared.

 
Player            Team        Cap  GVT  GVS 
Steve Sullivan    Nashville   3.8  3.8 -1.9
Scott Niedermayer Anaheim     6.8  3.1 -7.9
Travis Moen       Montreal    1.5  0.8 -1.0
Chris Neil        Ottawa      2.0  1.7 -0.9
Jay Bouwmeester   Calgary     6.7  4.6 -6.3

Despite losing a lot of value on Jay Bouwmeester, Calgary GM Darryl Sutter's other signings such as Nigel Dawes, Dustin Boyd, and Adam Pardy resulted in a net gain for the Flames. Unfortunately for Anaheim, at a team level, Niedermayer's signings pushes GM Bob Murray down in the basement with only the three Eastern Canadian teams for company.


Team          Cap  GVT  GVS 
Phoenix       9.1 27.8  19.0
Colorado      5.1 18.2  13.6
Vancouver    20.9 41.2  13.4
Washington   10.0 21.1   9.8
New Jersey    9.8 19.7   7.0
Pittsburgh    7.1 13.3   6.5
Nashville     6.9 13.0   4.5
Boston        8.4 12.5   3.5
St. Louis     6.0  8.4   3.3
Buffalo       8.1 10.6   2.6
Calgary      10.8 15.5   2.3
Los Angeles   6.4  8.9   1.5
Chicago      22.0 30.4   0.7
San Jose     11.3 14.1   0.5
Detroit       4.4  3.8  -0.3
NY Islanders  6.5  5.4  -0.5
Minnesota    11.5 11.9  -2.5
Edmonton     12.1 11.4  -2.5
Tampa Bay    10.7  9.7  -2.6
Dallas        5.6  3.6  -2.6
Carolina     13.2 13.2  -3.4 
Philadelphia  2.7 -2.6  -4.7
Atlanta      11.8  9.8  -5.6
Columbus      6.3 -0.8  -7.6
NY Rangers   19.0 18.5  -7.7
Florida      11.2  7.4  -7.9
Ottawa        7.9  2.0  -9.2
Anaheim      16.7 14.3  -9.6
Montreal     25.3 24.1 -10.7
Toronto      12.3  1.4 -16.7

While Sherman has a lot of which to be proud of, Phoenix GM Don Maloney has weathered a terrible storm and made some of the shrewdest signings of the summer, quietly collecting Keith Yandle, Scottie Upshall, Adrian Aucoin, Vernon Fiddler, Jason Labarbera, Daniel Winnik, and Taylor Pyatt at discount prices. A lot of pundits had Phoenix pegged for 28th overall just like we did, but thanks to Maloney and his staff outsmarting everyone, Phoenix is currently tied for sixth in the league.

Other than Chicago and Montreal, Vancouver was among the biggest spenders. While it doesn't take a genius to give the Sedins whatever they want, give Canucks GM Mike Gillis credit for signing the talented Swedes to long-term contracts for only $6.1 million apiece, and then complementing them with value signings like Mikael Samuelsson, Jannik Hansen, and Tanner Glass.

On the flip side, you have to scratch your head whenever you review Montreal GM Bob Gainey's offseason decisions, only two of which worked out, Tomas Plekanec and the since-traded Guillaume Latendresse. Gainey's 10 other signings have all failed to produce at the level warranted by their compensation, and you have to wonder if that's made the difference for them so far.

Wrap Up

There's still plenty of hockey to be played this season, and many of these players could turn their seasons around. Colorado GM Greg Sherman may get a lot of deserved attention for snapping up Craig Anderson for $1.8 million, but at the moment, the league's wisest is Coyotes GM Don Maloney, who quietly managed to convince seven solid players to sign in Phoenix at value prices despite all of this summer's turmoil.

Robert Vollman is an author of Hockey Prospectus. You can contact Robert by clicking here or click here to see Robert's other articles.

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