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November 5, 2009
Illegal Curve
Faceoffs and Games Won

by Richard Pollock

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The importance of faceoffs seems to be garnering more attention these days around the National Hockey League. If you win faceoffs, this should mean you have the puck on your stick more often and that is the name of the game? Clearly there are many factors that go into producing a winning team but let’s see if there is any correlation between winning faceoffs and winning games since the lockout.

Here are the numbers since the lockout:

2005-06	        Faceoff %   Total Points
Anaheim	        50.8	    98
Atlanta	        50.1	    90
Boston	        52	    74
Buffalo	        49.7	    110
Calgary	        50.4	    103
Carolina	51.7	    112
Chicago	        48.9	    65
Colorado	48.1	    95
Columbus	49.4	    74
Dallas	        50.3	    112
Detroit	        52.8	    124
Edmonton	53.4	    95
Florida	        50.7	    85
Los Angeles 	49.9	    89
Minnesota	48.3	    84
Montreal	49.3	    93
Nashville	53.8	    106
New Jersey	49.5	    101
N.Y. Islanders	48.7	    78
N.Y. Rangers	47.5	    100
Ottawa	        50.3	    113
Philadelphia	49.5	    101
Phoenix	        49.2	    81
Pittsburgh	45.9	    58
San Jose	48.4	    99
St. Louis	50.7	    57
T.B. Lightning	50.1	    92
Toronto 	51.6	    90
Vancouver	48.1	    92
Washington	50.4	    70
2006-07	        Faceoff %   Total Points
Anaheim	        51.8	    110
Atlanta	        52.9	    97
Boston	        48.3	    76
Buffalo	        51.4	    113
Calgary	        48.4	    96
Carolina	52.3	    88
Chicago	        47.8	    71
Colorado	48.6	    95
Columbus	50.2	    73
Dallas	        50.1	    107
Detroit	        53.6	    113
Edmonton	51.5	    71
Florida	        47.9	    86
Los Angeles 	47.7	    68
Minnesota	47.6	    104
Montreal	49.5	    90
Nashville	50.3	    110
New Jersey	49	    107
N.Y. Islanders	51.6	    92
N.Y. Rangers	49.9	    94
Ottawa	        50.3	    105
Philadelphia	47.1	    56
Phoenix	        52.7	    67
Pittsburgh	47	    105
San Jose	51.1	    107
St. Louis	51.1	    81
T.B. Lightning	48.9	    93
Toronto 	51.9	    91
Vancouver	49.2	    105
Washington	49.8	    70
2007-08	        Faceoff %   Total Points
Anaheim	        50.2	    102
Atlanta	        51.8	    76
Boston	        49.1	    94
Buffalo	        48.6	    90
Calgary	        49.5	    94
Carolina	49.4	    92
Chicago	        52.3	    88
Colorado	47.8	    95
Columbus	52.3	    80
Dallas	        50.4	    97
Detroit	        53.3	    115
Edmonton	50.5	    88
Florida	        48.8	    85
Los Angeles 	47.8	    71
Minnesota	47.3	    98
Montreal	49	    104
Nashville	50.5	    91
New Jersey	50.4	    99
N.Y. Islanders	51	    79
N.Y. Rangers	52.3	    97
Ottawa	        51.7	    94
Philadelphia	49.3	    95
Phoenix	        48.6	    83
Pittsburgh	46.1	    102
San Jose	51.2	    108
St. Louis	51.8	    79
T.B. Lightning	49.7	    71
Toronto 	49.8	    83
Vancouver	48.7	    88
Washington	51.2	    94
2008-09	        Faceoff %   Total Points
Anaheim	        49.8	    91
Atlanta	        51.2	    76
Boston	        51	    116
Buffalo	        47.4	    91
Calgary	        51.3	    98
Carolina	51.3	    97
Chicago	        48.1	    104
Colorado	47.8	    69
Columbus	51.2	    92
Dallas	        47.8	    83
Detroit	        55.1	    112
Edmonton	47.9	    85
Florida	        47.9	    93
Los Angeles 	52	    79
Minnesota	48.5	    89
Montreal	50.9	    93
Nashville	52.2	    88
New Jersey	51.3	    106
N.Y. Islanders	45.7	    61
N.Y. Rangers	50.8	    95
Ottawa	        51.8	    83
Philadelphia	48.3	    99
Phoenix	        44.8	    79
Pittsburgh	49.1	    99
San Jose	53.8	    117
St. Louis	49.1	    92
T.B. Lightning	50.2	    66
Toronto 	50.1	    81
Vancouver	51.9	    100
Washington	51.7	    108

Here is the total points breakdown since the lockout:

    	        Total Standings 
2005-2009       Points Post-Lockout   Overall Ranking
Detroit	        464	              1
San Jose	431	              2
New Jersey	413	              3
Buffalo	        404	              4
Anaheim	        401	              5
Dallas	        399	              6
Nashville	395	              7
Ottawa	        395	              8
Calgary	        391	              9
Carolina	389	              10
N.Y. Rangers	386	              11
Vancouver	385	              12
Montreal	380	              13
Minnesota	375	              14
Pittsburgh	364	              15
Boston	        360	              16
Colorado	354	              17
Philadelphia	351	              18
Florida	        349	              19
Toronto 	345	              20
Washington	342	              21
Atlanta	        339	              22
Edmonton	339	              23
Chicago	        328	              24
T.B. Lightning	322	              25
Columbus	319	              26
N.Y. Islanders	310	              27
Phoenix	        310	              28
St. Louis	309	              29
Los Angeles 	307	              30

What about the total faceoff percentage over that same period of time?

    	        Total Faceoff 
2005-2009       Percentage Post-Lockout   Overall Ranking
Detroit	        214.8	                  1
Nashville	206.8	                  2
Atlanta	        206	                  3
Carolina	204.7	                  4
San Jose	204.5	                  5
Ottawa	        204.1	                  6
Toronto 	203.4	                  7
Edmonton	203.3	                  8
Washington	203.1	                  9
Columbus	203.1	                  10
St. Louis	202.7	                  11
Anaheim	        202.6	                  12
N.Y. Rangers	200.5	                  13
Boston	        200.4	                  14
New Jersey	200.2	                  15
Calgary	        199.6	                  16
T.B. Lightning	198.9	                  17
Montreal	198.7	                  18
Dallas	        198.6	                  19
Vancouver	197.9	                  20
Los Angeles 	197.4	                  21
Chicago	        197.1	                  22
Buffalo	        197.1	                  23
N.Y. Islanders	197	                  24
Florida	        195.3	                  25
Phoenix	        195.3	                  26
Philadelphia	194.2	                  27
Colorado	192.3	                  28
Minnesota	191.7	                  29
Pittsburgh	188.1	                  30

Now, I realize that’s a lot of charts, so let’s try and look at this in one swoop:

Overall	        Overall Ranking for Points   Overall Raking for Faceoff %
Detroit	        1	                     1
San Jose	2	                     5
New Jersey	3	                     15
Buffalo	        4	                     23
Anaheim	        5	                     12
Dallas	        6	                     19
Nashville	7	                     2
Ottawa	        8	                     6
Calgary	        9	                     16
Carolina	10	                     4
N.Y. Rangers	11	                     13
Vancouver	12	                     20
Montreal	13	                     18
Minnesota	14	                     29
Pittsburgh	15	                     30
Boston	        16	                     14
Colorado	17	                     28
Philadelphia	18	                     27
Florida	        19	                     25
Toronto 	20	                     7
Washington	21	                     9
Atlanta	        22	                     3
Edmonton	23	                     8
Chicago	        24	                     22
T.B. Lightning	25	                     17
Columbus	26	                     10
N.Y. Islanders	27	                     24
Phoenix	        28	                     26
St. Louis	29	                     11
Los Angeles 	30	                     21

What stood out

Of the top ten teams in terms of points, five of them finished in the top ten in faceoff percentage over that same period. There are some interesting findings here. Aside from the top ten, faceoff percentage really does not seem to be indicative of success. Of the middle ten teams in total points, five of these teams finished in the bottom third in the NHL in faceoff percentage over the same period. Additionally, four of the bottom eleven teams in points finished with faceoff percentages in the top ten over that same period.

So, what does this all mean? Obviously teams emphasize winning draws as a way of holding onto the puck more. Overall, it appears that the top teams over the past four seasons have done that better than the rest. However, you do not need to be proficient in the faceoff circle to be good (see: Buffalo, New Jersey and Dallas).

Basically, being successful in the faceoff circle is an important part of the game but, as you might imagine, it is not the only important part of the game.

Richard Pollock is Editor for the hockey website Illegal Curve.

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